Current Aurora Forecast
for Canada's North
The solar wind velocity is currently low at 389 km/s. While this is certainly not the only indicator for a spectacular aurora display it doesn't help to increase our chances. However, particle density impacting the earth is very high coming in at 4 protons/cm3. These relatively high density numbers will help to improve the overall spread of the aurora we see.
There is currently a very strong southward pointing Bz value of 4 nT that is cancelling out the protective effects our Earth's magnetic field. The increased southward Bz value forces open a 'door' in our magnetosphere letting energy particles from the solar wind easily penetrate our atmosphere. This is an excellent indicator for the current availability of active aurora.
Aurora Activity Level 7/10: Aurora borealis activity is currently elevated. Weather permitting, larger northern lights displays will be visible directly overhead from areas above magnetic 65th.
Extended 3-Day Activity Forecast Description (Oct 1 to Oct 3): The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (01 Oct, 02 Oct) and quiet levels on Oct 4 (03 Oct). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on Oct 2 (01 Oct) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on Oct 3 (02 Oct).